80% rise in property transactions in Burnage and Levenshulme
In this post credit crunch world of sub terrain low interest and annuity rates the growth of buy to let since 2009 has been phenomenal. So much so, there has been an evolution in purchase of property in the UK from that of just buying the roof over one’s head to that of a buy to let investment where it is seen as a standalone financial asset to fund current and future (ie pensions) investment. So recently, a few days before the release of latest Land Registry data of property transactions, quite a few market commenters were anticipating a huge increase in the number of properties sold in January as the 1st of April 2016 stamp duty deadline got closer.
Looking at the most recent set of data from The Land Registry, it seems there has been a rise in the number of completed property sales in the Manchester City Council area. Year on year, completed property sales in January (the latest set of data released) rose by 2.35% to 435 compared with 425 in January 2015. Nationally, the number of completed house sales fell by 5% in January 2016 compared with January 2015. Some might say this counters the reports that there was a rush by landlords to buy ‘buy to let’ property ahead of the 1st April 2016 deadline but where was the stampede that many expected?
Looking even closer to home, in the M19 postcode in January 2016, 45 properties changed hands, whilst 25 properties did so in January 2015. It’s even more interesting when you look at the average price paid, in January 2016, it was £146,856 yet in January 2015, the average price paid was £134,515.
As ever, the devil is in the detail. The 3% stamp duty surcharge for buy to let landlords was announced in the Autumn Statement on the 25th November 2015. Anyone who has bought a property knows from their offer being accepted to receiving the keys and monies paid is a long drawn out affair, taking on average 8 to 12 weeks, as the Land Registry only get notified upon completion of the sale. We also need to factor in that some Solicitors seem to have the last two weeks of December off anyway!
So if there was a rush in the last few days of November/early December in the Levenshulme and Burnage property market, we would only see the results of that in the February figures (released in June) and more probably March’s (released in July).
So why all the doom and gloom? Simple. Bad news sells newspapers and gets the headlines. Let’s be honest, the headline to this article is designed to be eye catching. However, when we look at both the bigger and smaller picture; nationally, property values dropped (month on month) by 0.5% across the UK. In the North West region they dropped 0.1%, whilst in Lancashire they actually rose by 0.6%. The year on year figures tell a completely different story to that.
It just goes to show you should look deeper into something before making a judgment! If you want to know more about the local property market then please feel free to contact me.